Daily

High impact

2023-01-03

January 3rd

Today's amplitude range

Russia's war in Ukraine has pushed up global inflation, and the Federal Reserve will still maintain the policy of raising interest rates this year, so as to avoid the resurgence of inflation. However, the members of the central bank have changed blood, and it is expected that the new team will be partial.

Pigeon, the U.S. interest rate hike cycle may end in half a year next year, and the resumption of China will solve the global supply chain problem, which will help ease inflation and return funds to China.

China is conducive to the appreciation of the RMB and the suppression of the growth of the US dollar, which is conducive to the rise of gold prices this year. Finally, since the United States entered the interest rate hike cycle in March last year, the price of gold has gone up.

Last week, it hit a half-year high. Although it dropped slightly by $5 a year, it has become a good choice for many investments. The gold market has been turbulent for many days, and the chances of upward breakthrough have increased.

First hit the high in December last year, and then seek a breakthrough. The suggested volatility today is $1,820 to $1,836.

China announced to the world that the new coronavirus will be reduced to Class B and Class B, and the restrictions on the epidemic will be completely lifted on January 8th this year. Passengers only need to hold it for 48 hours before entering the country.

Effective nucleic acid detection proves that people can enter social activities normally, that is, implementing the "0+0" measures for inbound passengers in disguise, although it may cause more reasons.

The case of virus casualties, however, in order to solve the economic recession, the CCP has no room to retreat. The A-share market of Shenzhen-Shanghai index rose by more than 1%, but Hong Kong stocks are disappearing.

Stimulated by the lack of interest, China and Hong Kong are fully cleared of customs, and some countries' restrictions on the visits of people from China, Hong Kong and Macao may cause further disputes and hinder their desire to visit Hong Kong.

Hong Kong passengers!

In addition, the Census and Statistics Department announced that the value of Hong Kong's exports plunged by 24.1% year on year in November, the worst performance in nearly half a century. The Hang Seng Index gained and lost 2000 points, and finally

It closed at 19,781 points, up 188 points or 0.96% in a week. In summary, the Hang Seng Index fell by 15.5% in the whole year, with Covid-19 appearing for three years and Hong Kong stocks falling for three years.

It's kind of dancing with the virus. The market continues to look forward to China's economic recovery, easing global supply chain problems, and the performance of US labor data is as expected by the market. US stocks

The high opening boosted the confidence of the European risk market, and the Italian Prime Minister suggested to the European Central Bank not to raise interest rates excessively, which relieved some of the pressure of raising interest rates, but

The strike tide in Britain spread to Europe, and wage earners' pursuit of "positive salary increase" has become a thorny issue in Europe. Last week, the three major European stock markets all fell.

Germany's DAX index finally fell by 0.12%; Paris CAC index fell by 0.48%, while Britain's FTSE 100 index fell by 0.28%. In terms of years, Germany, France and Britain are the three major stocks.

The index fell by 12.35%, 9.5% and 0.81% respectively.

U.S. labor data showed strong performance. The number of jobless claims last week announced yesterday, although as predicted by the market, showed the demand for labor in the Federal Reserve in the past eight months.

Under the aggressive interest rate hike environment, it remained prosperous, which enhanced the possibility of a soft landing of the US economy. The International Monetary Fund said that the global economy will face difficulties this year.

Difficult, it is difficult for the United States to control inflation, and signs of economic slowdown will continue. Last week, the three major stock indexes on Wall Street rose sharply and plummeted, and the Dow Jones index fell by 0.12%. S&P 500 Index

The number fell by 0.48%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index closed down by 0.28%. Affected by the interest rate hike cycle of the United States, the three major stock indexes fell by 8.78% and 19.44% respectively throughout the year.

And 33%.

Due to the Fed's interest rate hike cycle and the market's worries about the economy, the U.S. house price index fell for the fourth consecutive month in October, which was caused by the rise of building assets.

The cooling effect of wealth helps to suppress the price increase and relieve the pressure of the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates. The gold market once hit a six-month high, and the gold price reached a maximum of 1833.4 last week.

Dollar, the lowest price is $1,797.1, and the bulls cling to the $1,800 mark. The gold market finally closed at $1,823.8 on Friday, rising by $25.4 in a week. complete

The annual plan will drop by 5 dollars.

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